Happy Forgings — Peer Comparison

How the peer fair value is calculated and which companies were used as benchmarks.

Peer selection

Peers are selected from the same Capital Goods industry. 8 companies were matched as valid comparables.

Same-industry peers share similar business models, cost structures, and growth prospects — making them the most appropriate benchmarks for valuation multiples.

Peer comparison table

Capital Goods · 8 peers · sector medians shown

Better than medianWorse than median

Company	Mkt Cap	P/E	P/B	EV/EBITDA	ROE	Net Margin	Rev CAGR 3y
Happy Forgings HAPPYFORGE · you	₹19,545 Cr	56.6×	8.0×	41.4×	14.2%	19.5%	8.9%
Sector median	—	51.0×	9.1×	54.4×	13.0%	10.3%	15.8%
Investment & Precision Castings Limited INVPRECQ	₹80,348 Cr	15.4×	2.6×	30.0×	17.2%	17.1%	33.5%
Glen Industries Limited GLEN	₹71,047 Cr	51.0×	6.6×	—	13.0%	8.0%	13.6%
Kirloskar Industries Limited KIRLOSIND	₹51,120 Cr	14.2×	1.9×	61.1×	13.1%	7.4%	2.4%
INDO-MIM Limited INDOMIM	₹42,031 Cr	40.6×	15.4×	23.9×	37.9%	12.7%	15.9%
LMW Limited LMW	₹20,224 Cr	153.2×	7.0×	118.4×	4.6%	4.1%	-12.1%
INOX India Limited INOXINDIA	₹19,306 Cr	68.5×	15.8×	54.4×	23.1%	16.2%	18.0%
Azad Engineering Limited AZAD	₹16,846 Cr	129.6×	11.3×	75.2×	8.7%	22.0%	33.8%
Aequs Limited AEQUS	₹16,733 Cr	—	11.4×	—	-7.6%	-9.2%	15.8%

Peer comparison verdict

Happy is fairly valued relative to sector peers — trading near the sector median on key multiples (P/E ~51.0×, EV/EBITDA ~54.4×). Focus on execution quality and earnings trajectory from here.

How the peer fair value is calculated

Three valuation methods are weighted by sector. Each gives a fair value based on how sector peers are currently priced.

Method breakdown

35% weight · 7 peers

Sector median PE51.0×

Fair value via PE₹1,869

25% weight · 8 peers

Sector median PB9.1×

Fair value via PB₹2,367

EV/EBITDA

40% weight · 5 peers

Sector median EV/EBITDA54.4×

Fair value via EV/EBITDA₹2,726

Blended peer fair value₹2,336

Why median? Why these weights?

Median over mean: The sector median is used instead of the average because valuation multiples have extreme outliers — one high-growth company at 200× P/E would dramatically skew a mean. The median gives the middle value in the peer set, which better represents typical pricing.

Sector-specific weights: The weight given to each method reflects what matters most in this sector. For banks, P/B dominates because their value is tied to book assets. For IT companies, P/E carries the most weight because earnings quality matters more than asset base. For capital-intensive businesses, EV/EBITDA accounts for varying debt levels across peers and removes financing structure bias.

Limitations of peer comparison

Peer comparison assumes comparable companies are truly comparable — which is never perfectly true. Sector classifications can be imperfect: a conglomerate classified as "IT" may also have significant manufacturing revenue. Small peer counts (below 5) reduce confidence, as a single outlier can skew the sector median. When the entire sector is broadly expensive, peer comparison will show even an expensive stock as "fairly valued" relative to its peers.

The peer fair value shown is an algorithmic estimate based on publicly available financial data. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Please consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser before making any investment decision.